February 9th - This Week in Alternative Investments

This issue is brought to you by Vint, who lets you diversify your portfolio with fine wine and spirits.


Headlines

Bite-sized market updates

  • Santa Barbara is the country’s top emerging RE market

  • Global venture capital investment is up

  • 78% of institutional traders don’t want crypto

  • KKR see trillions of retail investment going to alts


Plus: Mark Knopfler’s $11 million guitar auction, Adam Neumann’s return, a $20 million Monet, and more.

Performance

Bitcoin
$45,464 (+5.5% weekly)
Card Ladder 50
13,891 (-0.2% weekly)
Thomson-Reuters VC Index
17,960.77 (+4.5% weekly)
FHFA House Price Index - Nov.
417.4 (+1.1 from Oct.)

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Smart Humans Podcast

In this episode, Slava Rubin talks with The Fund's Jenny Fielding about angel investing, believing in yourself, and innovation going global.

Market Updates

Santa Barbara, California, ranked first in the WSJ/Realtor.com rankings of emerging real estate markets. However, nearly all the other cities in the top ten are in the Midwest, as affordability in that region remains strong. The second-ranked city is Jefferson City, MO, followed by Canton, OH, Racine, WI, and Oshkosh, WI. The rankings look at the top 300 metro areas in the country and weighs the health of the local real estate market as well as economic and quality of life measures. Anyone considering buying a home, either for their own use or to rent, should peruse the rankings and use it as one data point of many in considering where to buy property.

Global venture capital investment was over $22 billion in January, a 3.8% annual gain. The number also represented a 8.3% monthly gain over December as 2024 got off to a strong start, leading to optimism that the down market of 2023 is in the rearview mirror. On the flip side, deal count was down 23.7% compared to January 2023, meaning that the average deal size was significantly bigger, suggesting that VC firms may be targeting bigger deals that they perceive are safer. Tech stayed hot, as the technology, media and telecommunications sector received 53.5% of funding last month, followed by healthcare (14.5%) and industrials (11.9%).

A JP Morgan survey of traders found that 78% have no plans to trade crypto in the next five years. The survey of over 4,000 institutional traders found that 9% are currently trading and 12% are planning to in the next five years. These numbers are despite the recent debut of Bitcoin ETFs which make it easier for traders to get exposure to the cryptocurrency without having to take custody of it. The survey also indicates that AI has overtaken blockchain as the hot tech trend, with 61% of respondents choosing it as the most influential technology of the future, compared to just 7% picking blockchain. The bull case for crypto would point to the recent price growth despite resistance from institutions, and that it is a large, untapped market if some of the 78% change their mind.

Learn

Research and insights from the Vincent team

Explore

This guitar sold for $875,000 (Christie’s)

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